Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 8.121236 9.059912 10.118006 11.410672 12.963464 14.789961 17.133498
2025-01-05 6.501381 7.666019 9.096561 11.024748 13.625105 17.122235 22.397582
2025-01-12 5.542834 6.752063 8.316209 10.559811 13.829725 18.671674 26.965068
2025-01-19 4.929020 6.150358 7.792657 10.264897 14.101495 20.268491 32.136909
2025-01-26 4.544087 5.789574 7.522507 10.247705 14.733331 22.549693 39.561809
2025-02-02 4.451895 5.811039 7.779578 11.043518 16.829160 28.052527 57.258341
2025-02-09 4.293808 5.714097 7.839200 11.521734 18.483158 33.390318 79.970865
2025-02-16 4.062390 5.482258 7.657853 11.554473 19.296358 37.264033 103.471807
2025-02-23 3.927106 5.380963 7.667619 11.917790 20.862627 43.759884 149.406848
2025-03-02 3.658472 5.049865 7.266285 11.462156 20.554473 45.069218 174.161097
2025-03-09 3.447985 4.795409 6.970167 11.166769 20.547335 47.319766 212.356358
2025-03-16 3.293244 4.618991 6.790552 11.073187 20.996534 51.320167 282.019119
2025-03-23 3.202478 4.554635 6.824448 11.468784 22.925227 62.620262 545.683311
2025-03-30 2.999292 4.294122 6.493516 11.075584 22.739578 65.942210 784.622965
2025-04-06 2.806891 4.038645 6.149478 10.607356 22.232720 67.637674 1082.287639
2025-04-13 2.656152 3.843614 5.899419 10.310484 22.146963 71.472836 1787.697695
2025-04-20 2.555204 3.726451 5.782786 10.293179 22.895423 80.709217 5293.975051
2025-04-27 2.559214 3.789092 6.008316 11.094318 26.541919 114.576234 NaN
2025-05-04 2.523278 3.778597 6.091382 11.575824 29.402152 153.294561 NaN
2025-05-11 2.443627 3.684612 6.000215 11.608791 30.647224 182.848110 NaN
2025-05-18 2.401152 3.654857 6.035478 11.974656 33.436272 248.021956 NaN
2025-05-25 2.286935 3.487468 5.775021 11.515833 32.527101 253.245450 NaN
2025-06-01 2.194494 3.356162 5.581609 11.218410 32.268878 272.031864 NaN